Shenmue 3 KS - Betting on the final numbers!

[Sharky]

I thought it would be a bit of fun if we all bet on the final numbers for the Shenmue 3 Kick Starter and see who is closest at the end!
What do you believe will be the final number of backers AND the final amount of dollars raised?

At this current point in time I am going to bet:
Backers: 62,000
Dollars raised: 5,250,000

Place your bet.... NOW!

[CrazyT]

Yeah this is whats really interesting me at the moment. My last 2 estimates based on trends were 6 million and then 6.5 million.

Ive never followed a kickstarter this close at the end so im not too familiar with the usual trends.

Anyway I may actually go with a definite estimate now between the last two. So im gonna say 6.2 million at the end

[Pao]

I'm going to be hopeful and say:

Backers: 65k
Money raised: $6M



Ryan, you're gonna lose that bet.  It's already around $5.1M right now.   It will easily reach $5.2M today I reckon.

[George]

I'm going to be hopeful and say:

Backers: 65k
Money raised: $6M

Sounds about right. Tho I know it made 6 million due to high priced tiers. 65k backers, would that be '65k copies sold', that isn't a lot.

[Tad]

Yeah, about 6m was my guess from the start. I think it'll be interesting to see how many people back it though. Once it's closed, we'll get a better picture of what SEGA could earn if they remastered the first two.

[MadeManG74]

I reckon a touch over $6M.
Glad I'm getting paid this week. My credit card is going to get punched in the dick this weekend with paying for Shenmue and then my New York trip in August.

I need to go cry.

EDIT: Wait, why am I crying? I'm getting Shenmue III and a trip to New York. Fuck money, get bitches.

[max_cady]

Backers: 60.000 backers
Final Amount: 5.5 Million.

[Aki-at]

I think about 67,000 backers and $5.9 million raised.

[Sharky]

More than happy to be wrong in this case.
Okay I put in a renewed bet at:

Backers: 64,000
Dollars raised: 5,550,000

[Centrale]

Backers: 63,000
Moolah: $5.68 mil

[Nathan]

Help Yu Suzuki plan a part of Shenmue III if you buy the $10k dinner at Monaco. Also, a chance to go to the very first event Shenmue III will be shown at! Wow. Wish I could afford.

Anyways...I am really confident we will beat Bloodstained now. My guess is $5.8 but I hope I am really wrong and we get way higher.

[CrazyT]

Few more hours before the last 24 hours start.

I gotta say I thought the last 2 days were gonna be a bit more exciting than it it currently is. I guess it really blew its load right from the start and also when ps4 physical got anounced. One things for sure, its gonna set a record on kickstarter which is nothing short of amazing for shenmue as a franchise that didnt get a chance from SEGA.

Overall I just think expecations were a bit too high, but around 6 million should hopefully be good enough for the game development.. Hope yu suzuki still has it in him to lead a team and direct a big project into greatness

[Sharky]

Milestone post!

[Phantasos]

It might get to 6 mil. Emphasis on might.

But it's gonna beat Bloodstained easy. Guess the power of reputation can even outdo marketing some times.

[George]

I think part of the reason that its not really moving as much it could is because the people running the kickstarter are relying on fans putting out the message and using its own social media to do questions. It should have been emailing big media chains to work with them to do stories on not only mainstream gaming channels but also media channels. I think mass media knows this industry is huge and having a story on something like Shenmue 3, 14 years later might have sparked a interest in a new audience.

Instead they sorta kept it around the #SaveShenmue fanbase to do all the work.